Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-31 10.743146 11.913946 13.172691 14.628837 16.269703 18.064640 20.181024
2025-09-07 9.031190 10.670072 12.562300 14.918276 17.786427 21.181588 25.529807
2025-09-14 7.630808 9.490378 11.766198 14.778121 18.691773 23.648910 30.472930
2025-09-21 6.535410 8.481001 10.980581 14.463725 19.249448 25.678066 35.110003
2025-09-28 5.768291 7.764252 10.438546 14.337170 19.965002 27.933566 40.322124
2025-10-05 5.360955 7.462270 10.388988 14.838935 21.568659 31.587738 48.060414
2025-10-12 5.006012 7.180381 10.316105 15.269189 23.085829 35.276022 56.396846
2025-10-19 4.617580 6.799878 10.045055 15.347768 24.042019 38.182837 63.888433
2025-10-26 4.237510 6.388257 9.675473 15.213510 24.614215 40.504426 70.703981
2025-11-02 3.893318 5.995815 9.290705 14.999619 25.006499 42.539933 77.288339
2025-11-09 3.582906 5.626595 8.903848 14.731520 25.256572 44.330118 83.661452
2025-11-16 3.325205 5.319073 8.586842 14.543114 25.613189 46.338094 90.760003
2025-11-23 3.107138 5.064660 8.345200 14.478944 26.222499 48.967954 99.747997
2025-11-30 2.973698 4.942667 8.319829 14.804759 27.615324 53.338545 113.330282
2025-12-07 2.783517 4.705851 8.070514 14.684490 28.116495 55.967995 123.525242
2025-12-14 2.585942 4.439633 7.744405 14.380996 28.205682 57.735321 132.034871
2025-12-21 2.432798 4.240936 7.524009 14.259324 28.652303 60.332775 143.077008
2025-12-28 2.372799 4.208032 7.609849 14.760005 30.491245 66.333516 164.093906
2026-01-04 2.307256 4.158925 7.659214 15.188648 32.224745 72.358957 186.562841
2026-01-11 2.206312 4.034106 7.549363 15.267226 33.169521 76.624033 205.096941
2026-01-18 2.090568 3.871881 7.351475 15.133984 33.600087 79.668463 220.771546
2026-01-25 1.975884 3.703596 7.127962 14.921458 33.813392 82.185926 235.443461
2026-02-01 1.864801 3.534925 6.890786 14.654985 33.861670 84.275366 249.277439